Intelligence notes is a public, living knowledge base of strategic intelligence analysis built exclusively from open sources - covering hybrid threats, cognitive warfare, AI-enabled targeting, active crises, and the actors and doctrines shaping them.


Methodology

Every entry follows the same systematic OSINT cycle:

  1. Collection - primary and secondary open sources, including native-language official communications (ZH, RU, FA, UK, AR) where a principal actor’s primary language is not English.
  2. Verification - claims checked against independent references before inclusion.
  3. Cross-referencing - findings linked across actors, concepts, systems, and crises; divergence between official statements and their English-language relays is treated as analytically significant.
  4. Structured evaluation - evidence weighed and labeled (see below).
  5. Synthesis - assessments written in analyst register: declarative, non-partisan, evidence-first.
  6. Regular updates - living notes carry revision dates; assessments are re-audited as events develop.

State-controlled sources (e.g., Xinhua, TASS, IRNA) are always labeled state-aligned and never treated as authoritative on their own.

Epistemic Labeling

Non-trivial claims carry one of three labels:

Fact

Directly verifiable in a cited primary source.

Assessment

Inference drawn from multiple pieces of evidence; the basis is stated.

Gap

Known unknown - what is missing and what would resolve it.

Confidence tiers, where they matter: High (multiple independent primary sources converge) · Medium (single primary, or consistent secondaries) · Low (single secondary, or contextual inference) · Unverified (present in reporting, not yet validated).

Structure

The knowledge base is organized in ten interlinked sections - Actors & Entities, Concepts & Tactics, Weapons & Systems, Current Crises, Historical Events, Authors & Thinkers, Current Investigations, Guides & Manuals, Repository, and Library - fully cross-referenced for non-linear, graph-driven navigation.

Products

  • This site - continuously updated reference notes, strategic assessments, and investigations.
  • Intelligence Notes - the weekly newsletter, published every Monday. Subscribe.
  • Global Situation Dashboard - interactive world map of active conflicts, crises, and hybrid campaigns.

Contact

Consulting, collaboration, or corrections: [[intellecta.contact@proton.me]]

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