Intelligence notes is the open-source analysis garden inside Asymmetric Measures. It maps actors, crises, systems, and methods from open sources only. It is a living reference, not a course platform and not a dump of non-public material.

Series pieces (OPEN SOURCE and others) distill from this garden and from tactics. The garden holds depth; the series holds the weekly product.


Methodology

Every entry follows the same OSINT cycle:

  1. Collection - primary and secondary open sources, including native-language official communications where relevant.
  2. Verification - claims checked against independent references.
  3. Cross-referencing - findings linked across actors, concepts, systems, and crises.
  4. Structured evaluation - evidence labeled (below).
  5. Synthesis - analyst register: declarative, evidence-first.
  6. Updates - living notes carry revision dates.

State-aligned sources are labeled as such and never treated as sole authority.

Epistemic labeling

Non-trivial claims carry one of:

  • Fact - directly verifiable in a cited primary source.
  • Assessment - inference from multiple pieces of evidence; basis stated.
  • Gap - known unknown; what would resolve it.

Confidence when it matters: High (multiple independent primaries) · Medium (single primary or consistent secondaries) · Low (single secondary or contextual inference) · Unverified (in reporting, not yet validated).

Structure

Ten sections on the home page: Actors, Concepts, Weapons, Crises, History, Thinkers, Investigations, Guides, Repository, Library. Graph navigation is supported; search and section MOCs are the fast path.

What this is not

  • Classified or non-public material
  • Client or engagement reporting
  • Platform series posts (those live under content)
  • A substitute for legal advice on collection or privacy